Seminars and Colloquia by Series

The Gamma-disordered Aztec diamond

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, October 29, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Roger Van Peski – Columbia University –

The dimer model, i.e. random perfect matchings of a bipartite graph, is a classical object about which much is known. As soon as one biases the probability measure by edge weights which are themselves random, very little is known rigorously, though physicists have studied such models for several decades and made extensive predictions. I will discuss a new integrable model in this class (the Gamma-disordered Aztec diamond) which allows us to prove results on the free energy, and also exhibits surprising relations to integrable polymer models which lead to probabilistic results on tilings. Joint work with Maurice Duits (KTH), https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.03033.

A first-order phase transition for the triangle lower tail in sparse random graphs

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, October 8, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Byron Chin – Georgia Tech –

We study the graphon variational problem that governs lower tail large deviations of the triangle count in a sparse Erdős--Rényi random graph G(n,p). We deduce that the replica-symmetric and symmetry-breaking regimes are separated by a single critical parameter q_c and that the phase transition is first-order. I’ll also discuss tools to transfer these results to the conditioned random graph, showing for example that the edge density is a discontinuous order parameter.

Exponential Rank Bounds for Random Matrices

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, October 1, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Achintya Polavarapu – Georgia Tech –

A basic question in random matrix theory is how likely a matrix is to have a large rank. For many classical models, this probability decays extremely quickly, but the strongest results often rely on the entries being identically distributed. In this talk, I will discuss how to obtain the same exponential scale for matrices with fully independent, non-identically distributed entries under only a uniform anti-concentration assumption and explain the main ideas that make this possible.

Stein method, Malliavin calculus and asymptotic independence

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, September 24, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Ciprian Tudor – Université de Lille 1

 

We develop an extension of the Stein-Malliavin calculus which allows to measure the Wasserstein distance between the probability distributions of $ (X, Y)$ and $(Z,Y)$, where $X,Y$ are arbitrary random vectors and $ Z\sim N(0, \sigma ^{2})$ is independent of $Y$. In particular, this method allows to quantify the asymptotic independence between sequences of random variables and vectors. We will discuss some particular applications of this method to various limit theorems.

Diffusion Approximation of a Proportional Processor Sharing Queue with Reneging

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, September 10, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Eva Loeser – UNC Chapel Hill –

Abstract: In the early 2000s, substantial work was devoted to understanding the generally distributed processor-sharing queue, which can be viewed as an idealization of round-robin or time-sharing protocols arising in computer-system applications. The fluid limit for a processor-sharing queue with reneging was established, but the diffusion limit for a processor-sharing queue with impatience was obtained only under a “soft deadlines” formulation, in which the patience times of jobs are tracked but jobs do not actually leave the queue when their patience times expire. This limitation was largely a consequence of the methodology underlying that research program: much of the analysis relied on heavy-traffic limits and the state-space-collapse framework introduced by Bramson and Williams, which is not naturally suited to systems with reneging. More recent work has developed methods for obtaining diffusion approximations of measure-valued queueing systems using classical central limit theorem analysis, martingale methods, and SPDE-valued limits (see work by Ramanan and by the author of this talk). Using these methods, the diffusion approximation for a processor-sharing queue with true reneging can be obtained.

Bio: Eva Loeser is a postdoctoral research associate in the Applied Probability Group in the Department of Statistics and Operations Research at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Her research interests include stochastic processes, particularly fluid and diffusion approximations of stochastic systems, high-dimensional stochastic processes, and universal limiting objects such as stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) and semimartingale reflecting Brownian motions (SRBMs). The models she studies arise in applications including systems biology, computer systems, queueing theory, operations research, and mathematical physics.

Asymptotically half of binary words are shuffle squares

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, April 16, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Logan Post – Georgia Institute of Technology –

A binary shuffle square is a binary word of even length that can be partitioned into two disjoint, identical subwords. While recognizing shuffle squares is NP-hard, we show that they are surprisingly ubiquitous. We prove that a uniformly random binary word $s$ of length $2n$ is a shuffle square with probability $\frac 12-o(n^{-1/15})$, verifying a conjecture of He, Huang, Nam, and Thaper. In particular, almost every binary word is at most two bit-deletions away from a shuffle square, giving the best possible average case for the “Longest Twin” problem.

 

By revealing the bits of $s$ sequentially,  we reformulate the problem as a discrete stochastic process. We track the evolution of a “buffer set”, a collection of suffixes produced by the revealed bits. In this setting, there is a simple greedy algorithm which behaves like a SSRW; we define a local optimization which creates a negative bias. We also show that the buffer set is robust enough to absorb small defects, yielding a perfect partition with high probability.

Minimax D-Optimal designs in generalized linear models: Nonasymptotic theory and efficient algorithms

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, April 9, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Jacob Aguirre – Georgia Tech –

We study robust D-optimal experiment design in generalized linear models, choosing design weights to maximize the worst-case determinant of the Fisher information matrix over a convex parameter uncertainty set. This can be thought of as the natural generalization of D-optimal design in linear regression, and the key challenge is that the information matrix depends on the parameter, so the resulting minimax problem is generally not convex-concave. We show that the desired convexity-concavity, in fact, reduces to a scalar curvature condition on the log-partition function of the exponential family, namely its second derivative h must satisfy the inequality h''h ≥ q(h')² for some q > 1. This insight is connected to the notion of Volumetric Barrier (VB) convexity for self-concordant functions, a result first introduced by Tseng et al (2025) in the context of online quantum state estimation. With self-concordant barriers on the design weights simplex and the parameter uncertainty set, the regularized saddle objective becomes a self-concordant convex-concave (SCCC) function, enabling efficient minimax interior-point methods developed by Nemirovski. We also consider the generalization of the framework, where convexity in the model parameter breaks, but the q-inequality holds up to a deficit proportional to h; in this case, our methods are just as applicable. It turns out that this class includes all canonical GLMs, and we identify logistic regression as the hardest model in the class.

This joint work with Dmitrii Ostrovskii.

Negative association of the Busemann functions in exactly solvable KPZ models

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, April 2, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Xiao Shen – North Carolina State University –

In the study of random growth models belonging to the Kardar--Parisi--Zhang (KPZ) universality class, a notably successful approach has been to analyze stationary initial conditions defined by the Busemann functions. Recently, this perspective has been extended to handle multiple asymptotic directions simultaneously, but the joint distribution of the Busemann process is more difficult to access, and many aspects of this process remain elusive. In particular, the remarkable independence property present in the exactly solvable setting fails when considering Busemann functions across different directions. In the corner growth model, also known as exponential last-passage percolation (LPP), we prove that, regardless of their different directions, Busemann functions along a down-right path are always negatively associated across each individual direction. In other words, increasing the value of Busemann functions in one direction tends to probabilistically decrease the values of neighboring ones. As an application, we obtain an exponential concentration inequality on the diffusive scale for Busemann functions along a down-right path, in the absence of independence. Joint work with Erik Bates.

TBA : Hung Nguyen

Series
Stochastics Seminar
Time
Thursday, March 19, 2026 - 15:30 for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 006
Speaker
Hung Nguyen – University of Tennessee, Knoxville

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